🎯 PrizePicks +EV Report

Generated: December 29, 2025 10:56 PM

2109
Props Loaded
76
Matched
17
+EV Props
3
58%+ Picks

💰 Recommended Bet Sizing (25% Kelly)

1 unit = $5.00 | Bankroll = 100 units ($500)

Lineup Payout Rec. Units Rec. $ EV Risk
⭐ 6 FLEX 25x/2x/0.4x0.6$2.83+54.4%✅ Full payouts - OPTIMAL
⭐ 5 FLEX 10x/2x/0.4x1.1$5.43+39.1%✅ Full payouts - OPTIMAL
⚠️ 4 POWER10x0.8$4.14+29.8%HIGH ⚠️
⚠️ 3 POWER6x1.8$8.82+35.3%HIGHEST ⚠️

📊 STRATEGY TIP: 5/6 Flex plays are KING for long-term profit. Power plays have higher variance - use sparingly.

⭐ 6 FLEX 25x / 2x / 0.4x
EV: +54.4%

✅ Full payouts - OPTIMAL

Strategy: All standard - full payouts

Bet:0.6 units ($2.83)
📊 Possible Returns on $2.83 bet:
✓ 6/6 hit: $70.85 (+$68.01 profit)
✓ 5/6 hit: $5.67
✗ 4/6 hit: $1.13
✗ 3/6 or less: $0.00
# Game Matchup Sport Prob Edge Line Δ 👺 Books Player Prop 📍 YOUR PICK
1 vs DET Fri 7:40pm BOS@UTA 🏀 NBA 62.2% +7.9% 🟡 -1.0 - 3 Keyonte George TOTAL REBOUNDS OVER 2.5
2 @ UTA Fri 7:40pm DET@LAL 🏀 NBA 61.8% +7.5% - - 3 Ausar Thompson ASSISTS UNDER 2.5
3 vs MIL Fri 6:10pm PHI@MEM 🏀 NBA 58.7% +4.4% - - 3 Santi Aldama ASSISTS UNDER 3.5
4 vs MIL Fri 6:10pm PHI@MEM 🏀 NBA 57.6% +3.3% - - 3 Cam Spencer TOTAL REBOUNDS OVER 2.5
5 @ POR Fri 8:10pm SAC@LAC 🏀 NBA 57.4% +3.1% - - 4 Kawhi Leonard ASSISTS OVER 3.5
6 @ UTA Fri 7:40pm DET@LAL 🏀 NBA 57.3% +3.0% - - 4 Tobias Harris TOTAL REBOUNDS UNDER 5
⭐ 5 FLEX 10x / 2x / 0.4x
EV: +39.1%

✅ Full payouts - OPTIMAL

Strategy: All standard - full payouts

Bet:1.1 units ($5.43)
📊 Possible Returns on $5.43 bet:
✓ 5/5 hit: $54.32 (+$48.89 profit)
✓ 4/5 hit: $10.86
✗ 3/5 hit: $2.17
✗ 2/5 or less: $0.00
# Game Matchup Sport Prob Edge Line Δ 👺 Books Player Prop 📍 YOUR PICK
1 vs DET Fri 7:40pm BOS@UTA 🏀 NBA 62.2% +7.9% 🟡 -1.0 - 3 Keyonte George TOTAL REBOUNDS OVER 2.5
2 @ UTA Fri 7:40pm DET@LAL 🏀 NBA 61.8% +7.5% - - 3 Ausar Thompson ASSISTS UNDER 2.5
3 vs MIL Fri 6:10pm PHI@MEM 🏀 NBA 58.7% +4.4% - - 3 Santi Aldama ASSISTS UNDER 3.5
4 vs MIL Fri 6:10pm PHI@MEM 🏀 NBA 57.6% +3.3% - - 3 Cam Spencer TOTAL REBOUNDS OVER 2.5
5 @ POR Fri 8:10pm SAC@LAC 🏀 NBA 57.4% +3.1% - - 4 Kawhi Leonard ASSISTS OVER 3.5
🔴 DEMON SPECIAL BOOSTED

Not enough demon picks with 50%+ probability available today.

⚠️ 4 POWER - HIGH VARIANCE 10x Payout
EV: +29.8%

⚠️ All 4 must hit - no partial payouts!

Bet:0.8 units ($4.14)
📊 Possible Returns on $4.14 bet:
✓ 4/4 hit: $41.37 (+$37.24 profit)
✗ Miss any: $0.00 (-$4.14 LOSS)
# Game Matchup Sport Prob Books Player Prop 📍 YOUR PICK
1 vs DET Fri 7:40pm BOS@UTA 🏀 NBA 62.2% 3 Keyonte George TOTAL REBOUNDS OVER 2.5
2 @ UTA Fri 7:40pm DET@LAL 🏀 NBA 61.8% 3 Ausar Thompson ASSISTS UNDER 2.5
3 vs MIL Fri 6:10pm PHI@MEM 🏀 NBA 58.7% 3 Santi Aldama ASSISTS UNDER 3.5
4 vs MIL Fri 6:10pm PHI@MEM 🏀 NBA 57.6% 3 Cam Spencer TOTAL REBOUNDS OVER 2.5
⚠️ 3 POWER - HIGHEST VARIANCE 6x Payout
EV: +35.3%

⚠️ All 3 must hit - Colorado minimum. Consider flex plays instead.

Bet:1.8 units ($8.82)
📊 Possible Returns on $8.82 bet:
✓ 3/3 hit: $52.90 (+$44.08 profit)
✗ Miss any: $0.00 (-$8.82 LOSS)
Bet:1.8 units ($8.82)
# Game Matchup Sport Prob Books Player Prop 📍 YOUR PICK
1 vs DET Fri 7:40pm BOS@UTA 🏀 NBA 62.2% 3 Keyonte George TOTAL REBOUNDS OVER 2.5
2 @ UTA Fri 7:40pm DET@LAL 🏀 NBA 61.8% 3 Ausar Thompson ASSISTS UNDER 2.5
3 vs MIL Fri 6:10pm PHI@MEM 🏀 NBA 58.7% 3 Santi Aldama ASSISTS UNDER 3.5

📊 All +EV Props (17 total)

Line Edge: 🟢 HIGH confidence | 🟡 MEDIUM confidence | 🔴 LOW confidence (use caution)

👺 Goblin Status: 🟢 = Green (easier, reduced payout) | 🔴 = Red (harder, boosted payout!) | - = Standard

# Game Sport Prob Edge Line Edge 👺 Books Player Prop PP vs Book Pick
1 vs DET Fri 7:40pm BOS@UTA 🏀 NBA 62.2% +7.9% 🟡 -1.0 - 3 Keyonte George TOTAL REBOUNDS OVER 2.5
2 @ UTA Fri 7:40pm DET@LAL 🏀 NBA 61.8% +7.5% - - 3 Ausar Thompson ASSISTS UNDER 2.5
3 vs MIL Fri 6:10pm PHI@MEM 🏀 NBA 58.7% +4.4% - - 3 Santi Aldama ASSISTS UNDER 3.5
4 vs MIL Fri 6:10pm PHI@MEM 🏀 NBA 57.6% +3.3% - - 3 Cam Spencer TOTAL REBOUNDS OVER 2.5
5 @ POR Fri 8:10pm SAC@LAC 🏀 NBA 57.4% +3.1% - - 4 Kawhi Leonard ASSISTS OVER 3.5
6 @ UTA Fri 7:40pm DET@LAL 🏀 NBA 57.3% +3.0% - - 4 Tobias Harris TOTAL REBOUNDS UNDER 5
7 @ POR Fri 8:10pm SAC@LAC 🏀 NBA 57.3% +3.0% 🟡 -1.5 - 4 Brook Lopez TOTAL REBOUNDS OVER 4
8 @ IND Fri 5:10pm BOS@UTA 🏀 NBA 57.0% +2.7% - - 3 Jaylen Brown ASSISTS OVER 5
9 vs DET Fri 7:40pm BOS@UTA 🏀 NBA 56.8% +2.5% - - 3 Jusuf Nurkić ASSISTS OVER 4
10 @ POR Fri 8:10pm SAC@LAC 🏀 NBA 56.2% +1.9% - - 4 James Harden TOTAL REBOUNDS UNDER 5
11 vs DET Fri 7:40pm BOS@UTA 🏀 NBA 55.6% +1.3% - - 3 Keyonte George ASSISTS UNDER 6.5
12 vs MIL Fri 6:10pm PHI@MEM 🏀 NBA 55.3% +1.0% 🟡 -1.0 - 3 Santi Aldama TOTAL REBOUNDS OVER 6.5
13 @ POR Fri 8:10pm SAC@LAC 🏀 NBA 54.9% +0.6% - - 4 Kawhi Leonard TOTAL REBOUNDS OVER 7
14 @ POR Fri 8:10pm SAC@LAC 🏀 NBA 54.8% +0.5% - - 3 James Harden ASSISTS UNDER 8
15 @ IND Fri 5:10pm BOS@UTA 🏀 NBA 54.8% +0.5% - - 3 Payton Pritchard TOTAL REBOUNDS UNDER 4
16 vs MIL Fri 6:10pm PHI@MEM 🏀 NBA 54.8% +0.5% - - 3 Jaylen Wells TOTAL REBOUNDS OVER 3.5
17 @ CHI Fri 5:40pm PHI@MEM 🏀 NBA 54.5% +0.2% - - 3 Tyrese Maxey TOTAL REBOUNDS OVER 3.5