🎯 PrizePicks +EV Report

Generated: May 9, 2026 4:01 PM

11560
Props Loaded
1324
Matched
59
+EV Props
0
56%+ Picks

👑 OPTIMAL: Power Play Lineups (Calibrated)

🎯 UNDER bets: 73.8% actual | OVER bets: 52.5% actual | Low-perf OVER combos filtered out

Power Play ALWAYS beats Flex with calibrated picks!

Lineup Payout Hit Rate EV Rec. $ Status
👑 5-PICK POWER20x---Need 5+ picks at 56%+
🥈 6-PICK POWER25x---Need 6+ picks
🥉 4-PICK POWER10x---Need 4+ picks
3-PICK POWER6x32.3%1.94x$23✓ PLAY

⚠️ DO NOT USE FLEX - Power Play has ~12% higher EV with calibrated picks. See analysis below.

⚠️ Flex Lineups (NOT Recommended)

Power Play has higher EV than Flex. Only use Flex if you don't have enough 56%+ picks.

Lineup Payout Rec. Units Rec. $ EV Warning
❌ 6 FLEX25x/2x/0.4x0.3$2+29.5%⚠️ Flex not recommended - use Power Play
❌ 5 FLEX10x/2x/0.4x0.6$3+21.0%⚠️ Flex not recommended - use Power Play
👑 5-PICK POWER PLAY (OPTIMAL)
Need 5+ picks

Not enough 56%+ calibrated picks available. Need 5, have 3.

🥈 6-PICK POWER PLAY
Need 6+ picks

Not enough 56%+ calibrated picks available. Need 6, have 3.

🥉 4-PICK POWER PLAY
Need 4+ picks

Not enough 56%+ calibrated picks available. Need 4, have 3.

3-PICK POWER PLAY
Hit: 32.3% 1.94x EV

💰 Recommended bet: $23 (4.7 units) | Payout: 6x

# Player Prop Pick Raw % Calibrated % Sport
1 Karl-Anthony Towns Assists 5 UNDER 58.0% 72.6% 🏀 NBA
2 Stephon Castle Rebounds 5 UNDER 57.7% 66.6% 🏀 NBA
3 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds 4 UNDER 57.6% 66.5% 🏀 NBA

Avg calibrated probability: 68.6% (calibrated from raw prediction)

📈 Flex Bet Tracking

Total Bets 136
Wagered $309
Profit $166
ROI -53.7%
Pending 41
DATE
TYPE
BET
RESULT
P/L
May 9 16:00
6-FLEX
$2
⏳ PENDING
-
May 9 15:00
6-FLEX
$3
⏳ PENDING
-
May 9 14:00
6-FLEX
$3
⏳ PENDING
-
May 9 13:00
6-FLEX
$3
⏳ PENDING
-
May 9 12:00
6-FLEX
$2
⏳ PENDING
-
May 9 11:00
6-FLEX
$3
⏳ PENDING
-
May 9 10:00
6-FLEX
$3
⏳ PENDING
-
May 8 18:00
6-FLEX
$1
⏳ PENDING
-
May 8 17:00
6-FLEX
$2
🟡 4/6 PARTIAL
-$1
May 8 16:00
6-FLEX
$2
❌ 3/6 LOSS
-$2
May 8 15:00
6-FLEX
$2
❌ 3/6 LOSS
-$2
May 8 14:00
6-FLEX
$3
🟡 4/6 PARTIAL
-$2
May 8 13:00
6-FLEX
$3
🟡 4/6 PARTIAL
-$2
May 8 10:00
6-FLEX
$3
❌ 3/6 LOSS
-$3
May 7 18:00
6-FLEX
$1
🟡 4/6 PARTIAL
-$1
May 7 17:00
6-FLEX
$1
🟡 5/6 PARTIAL
+$1
May 7 16:00
6-FLEX
$1
❌ 3/6 LOSS
-$1
May 7 15:00
6-FLEX
$2
🟡 5/6 PARTIAL
+$2
May 7 14:00
6-FLEX
$2
🟡 4/6 PARTIAL
-$1
May 7 13:00
6-FLEX
$3
❌ 3/6 LOSS
-$3

📊 All +EV Props (59 total)

PLAYER INFO BET DETAILS VALUE FAIR ODDS LINE Δ FD DK MGM CZR
Cason Wallace 🔴 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 2.5 3-PT MADE
63.9%
-177
+2.0
-
0.5 -204 / +153
0.5 -225 / +165
-
Terrence Shannon 🔴 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 2.5 3-PT MADE
62.6%
-167
+2.0
0.5 -210 / +154
0.5 -201 / +151
--
Deandre Ayton 🔴 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 2.5 BLOCKED SHOTS
62.4%
-165
+2.0
-
0.5 -194 / +145
0.5 -220 / +155
-
Austin Reaves 🔴 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 2.5 STEALS
62.1%
-164
+2.0
0.5 -192 / +140
0.5 -202 / +151
--
Isaiah Hartenstein 🔴 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 2.5 STEALS
60.3%
-152
+2.0
-
0.5 -183 / +137
--
Keldon Johnson 🔴 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 2.5 3-PT MADE
59.2%
-145
+2.0
0.5 -180 / +134
0.5 -168 / +127
--
VJ Edgecombe 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Over 5 TOTAL REBOUNDS
58.5%
-140 -
4.5 -162 / +122
---
Victor Wembanyama 🔴 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 6.5 BLOCKED SHOTS
58.4%
-140
+3.0
3.5 -172 / +128
3.5 -161 / +121
--
Luguentz Dort 🔴 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 2.5 STEALS
58.2%
-139
+2.0
-
0.5 -164 / +123
--
Karl-Anthony Towns 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Under 5 ASSISTS
58.0%
-138 -
5.5 +126 / -168
5.5 +120 / -158
-
5.5 +120 / -162
Marcus Smart 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 4 ASSISTS
57.8%
-137 -
3.5 -166 / +130
3.5 -148 / +112
3.5 -185 / +138
3.5 -175 / +128
Stephon Castle 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Under 5 TOTAL REBOUNDS
57.7%
-136 -
5.5 +128 / -172
-
5.5 +110 / -150
-
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Under 4 TOTAL REBOUNDS
57.6%
-136 -
4.5 +124 / -160
4.5 +119 / -157
-
4.5 +122 / -162
Julius Randle 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 4 ASSISTS
57.5%
-135 -
3.5 -162 / +122
3.5 -161 / +122
-
3.5 -159 / +119
Dylan Harper 🔴 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 2.5 3-PT MADE
57.4%
-134
+2.0
0.5 -162 / +122
0.5 -156 / +118
--
Isaiah Hartenstein 🔴 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 2.5 BLOCKED SHOTS
57.1%
-133
+2.0
-
0.5 -162 / +121
0.5 -155 / +110
-
Devin Vassell 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 4 TOTAL REBOUNDS
56.7%
-130 -
3.5 -158 / +118
3.5 -152 / +115
-
3.5 -160 / +113
Deandre Ayton 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Under 9 TOTAL REBOUNDS
56.6%
-130 -
9.5 +114 / -146
---
Tyrese Maxey 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Over 4 TOTAL REBOUNDS
56.5%
-129 -
3.5 -144 / +108
-
3.5 -160 / +120
3.5 -143 / +107
Marcus Smart 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Under 3 TOTAL REBOUNDS
56.4%
-129 -
3.5 +124 / -160
3.5 +106 / -139
3.5 +115 / -155
3.5 +112 / -150
Tyrese Maxey 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Over 10 REBS+ASTS
56.3%
-128 -
9.5 -144 / +108
---
Mitchell Robinson 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Under 7 TOTAL REBOUNDS
56.3%
-128 -
7.5 +120 / -160
7.5 +109 / -144
-
7.5 +112 / -150
Jalen Brunson 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Under 6 ASSISTS
56.2%
-128 -
6.5 +106 / -140
--
6.5 +115 / -154
Chet Holmgren 🔴 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 3.5 BLKS+STLS
56.1%
-127
+1.0
-
2.5 -150 / +113
--
VJ Edgecombe 🔴 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Over 3.5 3-PT MADE
55.9%
-126
+2.0
1.5 -148 / +112
1.5 -138 / +105
1.5 -185 / +135
1.5 -143 / +107
Austin Reaves 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 6 ASSISTS
55.9%
-126 -
5.5 -140 / +110
-
5.5 -145 / +105
5.5 -170 / +115
Julian Champagnie 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 5 TOTAL REBOUNDS
55.8%
-126 -
4.5 -158 / +118
4.5 -142 / +108
-
4.5 -148 / +111
Jaylin Williams 🔴 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 2.5 3-PT MADE
55.7%
-125
+2.0
-
0.5 -141 / +107
0.5 -165 / +125
-
Karl-Anthony Towns 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Under 11 TOTAL REBOUNDS
55.6%
-125 -
11.5 +114 / -152
-
11.5 +100 / -135
-
Chet Holmgren 🔴 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 4.5 BLOCKED SHOTS
55.0%
-122
+3.0
1.5 -138 / +104
1.5 -136 / +103
1.5 -165 / +120
-
Josh Hart 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Over 5 ASSISTS
54.9%
-121 -
4.5 -138 / +104
4.5 -154 / +117
4.5 -125 / -105
4.5 -141 / +105
Paul George 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Under 5 TOTAL REBOUNDS
54.6%
-120 -
5.5 +104 / -138
5.5 +103 / -136
5.5 +115 / -155
5.5 +103 / -137
Julius Randle 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 11 REBS+ASTS
54.6%
-120 -
10.5 -136 / +102
---
Julius Randle 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 6.5 TOTAL REBOUNDS
54.4%
-119 -
6.5 -136 / +102
6.5 -135 / +103
6.5 -155 / +115
6.5 -139 / +104
Jaden McDaniels 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 5 TOTAL REBOUNDS
54.3%
-118 -
4.5 -138 / +104
4.5 -137 / +104
4.5 -150 / +110
4.5 -134 / +101
Jalen Brunson 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Under 9 REBS+ASTS
54.1%
-117 -
9.5 -106 / -125
9.5 +108 / -142
--
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 11 REBS+ASTS
54.0%
-117 -
10.5 -142 / +112
10.5 -139 / +105
10.5 -125 / -105
-
Jaxson Hayes 🔴 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 1.5 BLOCKED SHOTS
53.9%
-117
+1.0
-
0.5 -136 / +102
--
Naz Reid 🔴 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 3.5 3-PT MADE
53.9%
-116
+2.0
1.5 -136 / +102
1.5 -135 / +103
-
1.5 -139 / +105
Rui Hachimura 🔴 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 3.5 STEALS
53.9%
-116
+3.0
-
0.5 -135 / +102
--
Austin Reaves 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Under 4 TOTAL REBOUNDS
53.9%
-116 -
4.5 +104 / -132
4.5 +104 / -136
4.5 +100 / -135
4.5 +100 / -132
Terrence Shannon 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 8 POINTS
53.8%
-116 -
7.5 -130 / -102
--
7.5 -137 / +103
Deandre Ayton 🔴 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 1.5 ASSISTS
53.8%
-116
+1.0
-
0.5 -132 / +100
0.5 -150 / +110
-
Luke Kennard 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 5 REBS+ASTS
53.7%
-115 - -
4.5 -132 / +100
--
Quentin Grimes 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Under 9 PTS+REBS
53.7%
-115 -
9.5 +100 / -132
---
Josh Hart 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Under 9 TOTAL REBOUNDS
53.6%
-115 -
9.5 -106 / -125
9.5 +110 / -145
9.5 -110 / -120
9.5 +100 / -134
Anthony Edwards 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Under 10 REBS+ASTS
53.5%
-114 -
10.5 -106 / -125
10.5 +105 / -139
--
Devin Vassell 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 16 PTS+REBS
53.4%
-114 -
15.5 -130 / -102
---
Ayo Dosunmu 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Under 15 PTS+ASTS
53.4%
-114 -
15.5 -102 / -130
---
Naz Reid 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 12 POINTS
53.4%
-114 -
11.5 -130 / -102
--
11.5 -136 / +101
Josh Hart 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Under 14 REBS+ASTS
53.3%
-114 -
14.5 +104 / -138
14.5 -102 / -129
--
Quentin Grimes 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Under 11.5 PTS+REBS+ASTS
53.3%
-114 -
11.5 -102 / -130
---
Chet Holmgren 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 8.5 TOTAL REBOUNDS
53.3%
-113 -
8.5 -128 / +100
8.5 -140 / +106
8.5 -125 / -105
8.5 -137 / +102
Isaiah Hartenstein 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 16.5 PTS+REBS
53.2%
-113 -
16.5 -125 / -102
---
Devin Vassell 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 12 POINTS
53.2%
-113 -
11.5 -130 / -102
--
11.5 -136 / +102
Cason Wallace 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 4.5 REBS+ASTS
53.2%
-113 -
4.5 -130 / +100
4.5 -133 / +101
--
Julian Champagnie 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Under 10 PTS+ASTS
53.1%
-113 - -
10.5 +100 / -132
--
Isaiah Hartenstein 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 8.5 TOTAL REBOUNDS
53.1%
-113 -
8.5 -128 / +100
-
8.5 -135 / +100
8.5 -130 / -103
Julian Champagnie 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Under 6.5 REBS+ASTS
53.0%
-112 - -
6.5 -101 / -131
--

⚡ Data generated: 4:01:34 PM | Sportsbook odds move fast - act quickly!

Generated by BetFinder | Probabilities calibrated from 11,827 graded bets

👑 TIP: UNDER bets win at 73.8% vs 52.5% for OVER. Best: 3-PT UNDER (84%), Assists UNDER (76%), Rebounds UNDER (70%)