🎯 PrizePicks +EV Report

Generated: May 9, 2026 5:01 PM

12270
Props Loaded
1224
Matched
61
+EV Props
3
56%+ Picks

👑 OPTIMAL: Power Play Lineups (Calibrated)

🎯 UNDER bets: 73.8% actual | OVER bets: 52.5% actual | Low-perf OVER combos filtered out

Power Play ALWAYS beats Flex with calibrated picks!

Lineup Payout Hit Rate EV Rec. $ Status
👑 5-PICK POWER20x---Need 5+ picks at 56%+
🥈 6-PICK POWER25x---Need 6+ picks
🥉 4-PICK POWER10x---Need 4+ picks
3-PICK POWER6x43.8%2.63x$41✓ PLAY

⚠️ DO NOT USE FLEX - Power Play has ~12% higher EV with calibrated picks. See analysis below.

⚠️ Flex Lineups (NOT Recommended)

Power Play has higher EV than Flex. Only use Flex if you don't have enough 56%+ picks.

Lineup Payout Rec. Units Rec. $ EV Warning
❌ 6 FLEX25x/2x/0.4x0.3$2+31.4%⚠️ Flex not recommended - use Power Play
❌ 5 FLEX10x/2x/0.4x0.6$3+21.4%⚠️ Flex not recommended - use Power Play
👑 5-PICK POWER PLAY (OPTIMAL)
Need 5+ picks

Not enough 56%+ calibrated picks available. Need 5, have 3.

🥈 6-PICK POWER PLAY
Need 6+ picks

Not enough 56%+ calibrated picks available. Need 6, have 3.

🥉 4-PICK POWER PLAY
Need 4+ picks

Not enough 56%+ calibrated picks available. Need 4, have 3.

3-PICK POWER PLAY
Hit: 43.8% 2.63x EV

💰 Recommended bet: $41 (8.1 units) | Payout: 6x

# Player Prop Pick Raw % Calibrated % Sport
1 Karl-Anthony Towns Assists 5 UNDER 58.1% 83.8% 🏀 NBA
2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds 4 UNDER 58.3% 77.5% 🏀 NBA
3 Stephon Castle Rebounds 5 UNDER 57.7% 66.6% 🏀 NBA

Avg calibrated probability: 75.9% (calibrated from raw prediction)

📈 Flex Bet Tracking

Total Bets 137
Wagered $311
Profit $166
ROI -53.4%
Pending 42
DATE
TYPE
BET
RESULT
P/L
May 9 17:00
6-FLEX
$2
⏳ PENDING
-
May 9 16:00
6-FLEX
$2
⏳ PENDING
-
May 9 15:00
6-FLEX
$3
⏳ PENDING
-
May 9 14:00
6-FLEX
$3
⏳ PENDING
-
May 9 13:00
6-FLEX
$3
⏳ PENDING
-
May 9 12:00
6-FLEX
$2
⏳ PENDING
-
May 9 11:00
6-FLEX
$3
⏳ PENDING
-
May 9 10:00
6-FLEX
$3
⏳ PENDING
-
May 8 18:00
6-FLEX
$1
⏳ PENDING
-
May 8 17:00
6-FLEX
$2
🟡 4/6 PARTIAL
-$1
May 8 16:00
6-FLEX
$2
❌ 3/6 LOSS
-$2
May 8 15:00
6-FLEX
$2
❌ 3/6 LOSS
-$2
May 8 14:00
6-FLEX
$3
🟡 4/6 PARTIAL
-$2
May 8 13:00
6-FLEX
$3
🟡 4/6 PARTIAL
-$2
May 8 10:00
6-FLEX
$3
❌ 3/6 LOSS
-$3
May 7 18:00
6-FLEX
$1
🟡 4/6 PARTIAL
-$1
May 7 17:00
6-FLEX
$1
🟡 5/6 PARTIAL
+$1
May 7 16:00
6-FLEX
$1
❌ 3/6 LOSS
-$1
May 7 15:00
6-FLEX
$2
🟡 5/6 PARTIAL
+$2
May 7 14:00
6-FLEX
$2
🟡 4/6 PARTIAL
-$1

📊 All +EV Props (61 total)

PLAYER INFO BET DETAILS VALUE FAIR ODDS LINE Δ FD DK MGM CZR
Dean Wade 🔴 🏀 NBA • DET@CLE Mon 5/11 6:10PM
Over 2.5 ASSISTS
63.2%
-171
+2.0
-
0.5 -207 / +155
--
Evan Mobley 🔴 🏀 NBA • DET@CLE Mon 5/11 6:10PM
Over 2.5 3-PT MADE
62.9%
-169
+2.0
-
0.5 -203 / +153
--
Dean Wade 🔴 🏀 NBA • DET@CLE Mon 5/11 6:10PM
Over 2.5 3-PT MADE
62.6%
-167
+2.0
-
0.5 -201 / +151
--
Jalen Duren 🔴 🏀 NBA • DET@CLE Mon 5/11 6:10PM
Over 4.5 ASSISTS
62.0%
-163
+3.0
-
1.5 -195 / +147
--
Deandre Ayton 🔴 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 2.5 BLOCKED SHOTS
61.9%
-162
+2.0
-
0.5 -194 / +145
0.5 -210 / +145
-
Austin Reaves 🔴 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 2.5 STEALS
61.6%
-160
+2.0
0.5 -192 / +140
0.5 -195 / +145
--
Terrence Shannon 🔴 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 2.5 3-PT MADE
61.5%
-159
+2.0
-
0.5 -190 / +143
--
Marcus Smart 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 4 ASSISTS
59.4%
-146 -
3.5 -166 / +130
-
3.5 -185 / +138
-
Isaiah Hartenstein 🔴 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 2.5 STEALS
59.4%
-146
+2.0
-
0.5 -176 / +132
--
Keldon Johnson 🔴 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 2.5 3-PT MADE
59.2%
-145
+2.0
0.5 -180 / +134
0.5 -168 / +127
--
Luguentz Dort 🔴 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 2.5 STEALS
59.2%
-144
+2.0
-
0.5 -172 / +129
--
Tobias Harris 🔴 🏀 NBA • DET@CLE Mon 5/11 6:10PM
Over 4.5 ASSISTS
59.1%
-144
+3.0
-
1.5 -171 / +129
--
Ausar Thompson 🔴 🏀 NBA • DET@CLE Mon 5/11 6:10PM
Over 5.5 ASSISTS
58.5%
-141
+3.0
-
2.5 -166 / +126
--
VJ Edgecombe 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Over 5 TOTAL REBOUNDS
58.5%
-140 -
4.5 -162 / +122
---
Victor Wembanyama 🔴 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 6.5 BLOCKED SHOTS
58.4%
-140
+3.0
3.5 -172 / +128
3.5 -161 / +121
--
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Under 4 TOTAL REBOUNDS
58.3%
-139 -
4.5 +124 / -160
4.5 +124 / -164
-
4.5 +125 / -170
Karl-Anthony Towns 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Under 5 ASSISTS
58.1%
-138 -
5.5 +128 / -172
5.5 +120 / -158
-
5.5 +120 / -162
Stephon Castle 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Under 5 TOTAL REBOUNDS
57.7%
-136 -
5.5 +128 / -172
-
5.5 +110 / -150
-
Dylan Harper 🔴 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 2.5 3-PT MADE
57.3%
-134
+2.0
0.5 -162 / +122
0.5 -156 / +118
--
Julius Randle 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 4 ASSISTS
57.3%
-134 -
3.5 -162 / +122
3.5 -154 / +117
-
3.5 -159 / +119
Deandre Ayton 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Under 9 TOTAL REBOUNDS
57.1%
-133 -
9.5 +118 / -150
---
Marcus Smart 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Under 3 TOTAL REBOUNDS
57.0%
-132 -
3.5 +124 / -160
3.5 +116 / -153
3.5 +105 / -145
3.5 +117 / -157
Devin Vassell 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 4 TOTAL REBOUNDS
56.7%
-130 -
3.5 -158 / +118
3.5 -152 / +115
-
3.5 -160 / +113
Isaiah Hartenstein 🔴 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 2.5 BLOCKED SHOTS
56.6%
-130
+2.0
-
0.5 -156 / +117
0.5 -175 / +125
-
Mitchell Robinson 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Under 7 TOTAL REBOUNDS
56.5%
-129 -
7.5 +120 / -160
7.5 +110 / -145
-
7.5 +112 / -150
Tyrese Maxey 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Over 4 TOTAL REBOUNDS
56.5%
-129 -
3.5 -144 / +108
-
3.5 -160 / +120
3.5 -143 / +107
Jalen Brunson 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Under 6 ASSISTS
56.2%
-128 -
6.5 +106 / -140
--
6.5 +115 / -154
Austin Reaves 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Under 6 ASSISTS
56.1%
-127 -
6.5 +126 / -162
6.5 +110 / -145
6.5 +115 / -155
6.5 +112 / -150
Chet Holmgren 🔴 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 3.5 BLKS+STLS
56.1%
-127
+1.0
-
2.5 -150 / +113
--
VJ Edgecombe 🔴 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Over 3.5 3-PT MADE
56.0%
-127
+2.0
1.5 -152 / +114
1.5 -138 / +105
1.5 -185 / +135
1.5 -143 / +107
Duncan Robinson 🔴 🏀 NBA • DET@CLE Mon 5/11 6:10PM
Over 5.5 3-PT MADE
55.9%
-126
+3.0
-
2.5 -148 / +112
--
Tyrese Maxey 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Over 10 REBS+ASTS
55.9%
-126 -
9.5 -138 / +104
---
Karl-Anthony Towns 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Under 11 TOTAL REBOUNDS
55.6%
-125 -
11.5 +114 / -152
-
11.5 +100 / -135
-
Jaylin Williams 🔴 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 2.5 3-PT MADE
55.3%
-123
+2.0
-
0.5 -136 / +103
0.5 -165 / +125
-
Julian Champagnie 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 5 TOTAL REBOUNDS
55.2%
-123 -
4.5 -158 / +118
4.5 -137 / +104
-
4.5 -145 / +109
Josh Hart 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Over 5 ASSISTS
54.9%
-121 -
4.5 -138 / +104
4.5 -154 / +117
4.5 -125 / -105
4.5 -141 / +105
Paul George 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Under 5 TOTAL REBOUNDS
54.6%
-120 -
5.5 +104 / -138
5.5 +103 / -136
5.5 +115 / -155
5.5 +103 / -137
Deandre Ayton 🔴 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 1.5 ASSISTS
54.6%
-120
+1.0
-
0.5 -146 / +111
0.5 -140 / +105
-
Julius Randle 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 6.5 TOTAL REBOUNDS
54.4%
-119 -
6.5 -136 / +102
6.5 -135 / +103
6.5 -155 / +115
6.5 -139 / +104
Austin Reaves 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Under 4 TOTAL REBOUNDS
54.4%
-119 -
4.5 +104 / -132
4.5 +107 / -141
4.5 +100 / -135
4.5 +102 / -136
Jaden McDaniels 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 5 TOTAL REBOUNDS
54.3%
-118 -
4.5 -138 / +104
4.5 -137 / +104
4.5 -150 / +110
4.5 -134 / +101
James Harden 🔴 🏀 NBA • DET@CLE Mon 5/11 6:10PM
Over 10.5 ASSISTS
54.2%
-118
+4.0
6.5 -140 / +106
6.5 -135 / +103
-
6.5 -137 / +104
Jalen Brunson 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Under 9 REBS+ASTS
54.1%
-117 -
9.5 -106 / -125
9.5 +108 / -142
--
Donovan Mitchell 🔴 🏀 NBA • DET@CLE Mon 5/11 6:10PM
Over 5.5 3-PT MADE
54.0%
-117
+3.0
2.5 -140 / +106
2.5 -138 / +104
-
2.5 -137 / +103
Dean Wade 🔴 🏀 NBA • DET@CLE Mon 5/11 6:10PM
Over 6.5 TOTAL REBOUNDS
53.9%
-116
+3.0
-
3.5 -136 / +103
--
Rui Hachimura 🔴 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 3.5 STEALS
53.9%
-116
+3.0
-
0.5 -135 / +102
--
Julius Randle 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 11 REBS+ASTS
53.8%
-116 -
10.5 -136 / +102
10.5 -134 / +102
--
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 11 REBS+ASTS
53.8%
-116 -
10.5 -140 / +112
-
10.5 -125 / -105
-
Jaxson Hayes 🔴 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 1.5 BLOCKED SHOTS
53.8%
-116
+1.0
-
0.5 -134 / +101
--
Dylan Harper 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 14 PTS+ASTS
53.7%
-115 -
13.5 -132 / +100
---
Josh Hart 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Under 9 TOTAL REBOUNDS
53.6%
-115 -
9.5 -106 / -125
9.5 +110 / -145
9.5 -110 / -120
9.5 +100 / -134
Ajay Mitchell 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Under 7.5 REBS+ASTS
53.5%
-115 -
7.5 +102 / -130
7.5 -105 / -125
7.5 +115 / -155
-
Quentin Grimes 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Under 9 PTS+REBS
53.4%
-114 -
9.5 -102 / -130
---
Marcus Smart 🏀 NBA • OKC@LAL Sat 5/9 6:40PM
Over 19 PTS+REBS+ASTS
53.3%
-114 -
18.5 -125 / -102
-
18.5 -150 / +110
-
Terrence Shannon 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 8 POINTS
53.3%
-114 -
7.5 -130 / -102
7.5 -130 / +102
-
7.5 -137 / +103
Tobias Harris 🏀 NBA • DET@CLE Mon 5/11 6:10PM
Under 18.5 POINTS
53.2%
-113 -
18.5 +100 / -132
---
Devin Vassell 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 12 POINTS
53.2%
-113 -
11.5 -130 / -102
--
11.5 -136 / +102
Anthony Edwards 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Under 10 REBS+ASTS
53.2%
-113 -
10.5 -110 / -120
10.5 +105 / -139
--
Stephon Castle 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Over 12 REBS+ASTS
53.1%
-113 -
11.5 -130 / -102
11.5 -132 / +101
--
Julian Champagnie 🏀 NBA • SAS@MIN Sun 5/10 5:40PM
Under 6.5 REBS+ASTS
53.0%
-112 - -
6.5 -101 / -131
--
Josh Hart 🏀 NBA • NYK@PHI Sun 5/10 1:40PM
Under 14 REBS+ASTS
53.0%
-112 -
14.5 +100 / -132
14.5 -102 / -129
--

⚡ Data generated: 5:01:18 PM | Sportsbook odds move fast - act quickly!

Generated by BetFinder | Probabilities calibrated from 11,827 graded bets

👑 TIP: UNDER bets win at 73.8% vs 52.5% for OVER. Best: 3-PT UNDER (84%), Assists UNDER (76%), Rebounds UNDER (70%)