Generated: May 9, 2026 5:01 PM
🎯 UNDER bets: 73.8% actual | OVER bets: 52.5% actual | Low-perf OVER combos filtered out
Power Play ALWAYS beats Flex with calibrated picks!
| Lineup | Payout | Hit Rate | EV | Rec. $ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 👑 5-PICK POWER | 20x | - | - | - | Need 5+ picks at 56%+ |
| 🥈 6-PICK POWER | 25x | - | - | - | Need 6+ picks |
| 🥉 4-PICK POWER | 10x | - | - | - | Need 4+ picks |
| 3-PICK POWER | 6x | - | - | - | Need 3+ picks |
⚠️ DO NOT USE FLEX - Power Play has ~12% higher EV with calibrated picks. See analysis below.
Power Play has higher EV than Flex. Only use Flex if you don't have enough 56%+ picks.
| Lineup | Payout | Rec. Units | Rec. $ | EV | Warning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ❌ 5 FLEX | 10x/2x/0.4x | 0.4 | $3 | +14.7% | ⚠️ Flex not recommended - use Power Play |
Not enough 56%+ calibrated picks available. Need 5, have 1.
Not enough 56%+ calibrated picks available. Need 6, have 1.
Not enough 56%+ calibrated picks available. Need 4, have 1.
Not enough 56%+ calibrated picks available. Need 3, have 1.
| PLAYER INFO | BET DETAILS | VALUE | FAIR ODDS | LINE Δ | ![]() |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Deandre Ayton 🔴
Sat 5/9 6:40PM
|
Over 2.5
BLOCKED SHOTS
|
61.9%
|
-162 |
+2.0
|
- |
0.5
-194 / +145
|
0.5
-210 / +145
| - |
|
Austin Reaves 🔴
Sat 5/9 6:40PM
|
Over 2.5
STEALS
|
61.6%
|
-160 |
+2.0
|
0.5
-192 / +140
|
0.5
-195 / +145
| - | - |
|
Marcus Smart
Sat 5/9 6:40PM
|
Over 4
ASSISTS
|
59.4%
|
-146 | - |
3.5
-166 / +130
| - |
3.5
-185 / +138
| - |
|
Isaiah Hartenstein 🔴
Sat 5/9 6:40PM
|
Over 2.5
STEALS
|
59.4%
|
-146 |
+2.0
|
- |
0.5
-176 / +132
| - | - |
|
Luguentz Dort 🔴
Sat 5/9 6:40PM
|
Over 2.5
STEALS
|
59.2%
|
-144 |
+2.0
|
- |
0.5
-172 / +129
| - | - |
|
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Sat 5/9 6:40PM
|
Under 4
TOTAL REBOUNDS
|
58.3%
|
-139 | - |
4.5
+124 / -160
|
4.5
+124 / -164
| - |
4.5
+125 / -170
|
|
Deandre Ayton
Sat 5/9 6:40PM
|
Under 9
TOTAL REBOUNDS
|
57.1%
|
-133 | - |
9.5
+118 / -150
| - | - | - |
|
Marcus Smart
Sat 5/9 6:40PM
|
Under 3
TOTAL REBOUNDS
|
57.0%
|
-132 | - |
3.5
+124 / -160
|
3.5
+116 / -153
|
3.5
+105 / -145
|
3.5
+117 / -157
|
|
Isaiah Hartenstein 🔴
Sat 5/9 6:40PM
|
Over 2.5
BLOCKED SHOTS
|
56.6%
|
-130 |
+2.0
|
- |
0.5
-156 / +117
|
0.5
-175 / +125
| - |
|
Austin Reaves
Sat 5/9 6:40PM
|
Under 6
ASSISTS
|
56.1%
|
-127 | - |
6.5
+126 / -162
|
6.5
+110 / -145
|
6.5
+115 / -155
|
6.5
+112 / -150
|
|
Chet Holmgren 🔴
Sat 5/9 6:40PM
|
Over 3.5
BLKS+STLS
|
56.1%
|
-127 |
+1.0
|
- |
2.5
-150 / +113
| - | - |
|
Jaylin Williams 🔴
Sat 5/9 6:40PM
|
Over 2.5
3-PT MADE
|
55.3%
|
-123 |
+2.0
|
- |
0.5
-136 / +103
|
0.5
-165 / +125
| - |
|
Deandre Ayton 🔴
Sat 5/9 6:40PM
|
Over 1.5
ASSISTS
|
54.6%
|
-120 |
+1.0
|
- |
0.5
-146 / +111
|
0.5
-140 / +105
| - |
|
Austin Reaves
Sat 5/9 6:40PM
|
Under 4
TOTAL REBOUNDS
|
54.4%
|
-119 | - |
4.5
+104 / -132
|
4.5
+107 / -141
|
4.5
+100 / -135
|
4.5
+102 / -136
|
|
Rui Hachimura 🔴
Sat 5/9 6:40PM
|
Over 3.5
STEALS
|
53.9%
|
-116 |
+3.0
|
- |
0.5
-135 / +102
| - | - |
|
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Sat 5/9 6:40PM
|
Over 11
REBS+ASTS
|
53.8%
|
-116 | - |
10.5
-140 / +112
| - |
10.5
-125 / -105
| - |
|
Jaxson Hayes 🔴
Sat 5/9 6:40PM
|
Over 1.5
BLOCKED SHOTS
|
53.8%
|
-116 |
+1.0
|
- |
0.5
-134 / +101
| - | - |
|
Ajay Mitchell
Sat 5/9 6:40PM
|
Under 7.5
REBS+ASTS
|
53.5%
|
-115 | - |
7.5
+102 / -130
|
7.5
-105 / -125
|
7.5
+115 / -155
| - |
|
Marcus Smart
Sat 5/9 6:40PM
|
Over 19
PTS+REBS+ASTS
|
53.3%
|
-114 | - |
18.5
-125 / -102
| - |
18.5
-150 / +110
| - |