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📊 Calibration Dashboard

Model accuracy tracking — Pure no-vig consensus probabilities (line-edge adjustments disabled)
Last updated: Mar 5, 2026 6:01 PM
📋 Still collecting data. Need more graded props for reliable calibration. Keep running hourly!
14734
Total Tracked
0
Graded
2064
Pending
0.0%
Actual Win Rate
0.0%
Avg Predicted
🟡 +0.0%
Calibration

🎯 Calibration by Probability

Predicted win rate vs actual win rate by bucket. The gray marker shows predicted; the bar shows actual.

Bucket Count Predicted Actual vs Predicted Diff
No data yet

🏟️ By Sport

Minimum 5 graded props per sport

SportCountPredictedActualDiff
Not enough data (need 5+ graded per category)

📐 By Line Difference

Does PP vs book line gap predict value?

Line DiffCountPredictedActualDiff
Not enough data (need 5+ graded per category)

📈 By Stat Type

Minimum 5 graded props per stat type

StatCountPredictedActualDiff
Not enough data (need 5+ graded per category)

📅 Daily Breakdown (Last 14 Days)

DateGradedWinsLossesWin Rate
Mar 05 0 0 0 0.0%

📋 Individual Props

Player Pick Stat Sport Prob Actual Line Diff Game
Player Pick Stat Sport Prob Actual Line Diff Game
Vitek Vanecek Over 22.5 Goalie Saves NHL 50.0% 3/5 5:08 PM
Clayton Keller Under 4.5 Shots On Goal NHL 56.2% +2.0 3/5 5:08 PM
Matvei Michkov Under 4.5 Shots On Goal NHL 60.8% +2.0 3/5 5:08 PM
Owen Tippett Over 4.5 Shots On Goal NHL 54.6% +2.0 3/5 5:08 PM
Nick Schmaltz Under 3.5 Shots On Goal NHL 61.4% +1.0 3/5 5:08 PM
Barrett Hayton Over 1.5 Shots On Goal NHL 52.3% 3/5 5:08 PM
Bobby Brink Over 3.5 Shots On Goal NHL 54.4% +2.0 3/5 5:08 PM
JJ Peterka Over 3.5 Shots On Goal NHL 55.3% +2.0 3/5 5:08 PM
Lawson Crouse Under 1.5 Shots On Goal NHL 50.2% 3/5 5:08 PM
Mikhail Sergachev Over 3.5 Shots On Goal NHL 55.7% +2.0 3/5 5:08 PM
Sean Couturier Over 3.5 Shots On Goal NHL 53.0% +2.0 3/5 5:08 PM
Trevor Zegras Over 3.5 Shots On Goal NHL 58.5% +2.0 3/5 5:08 PM
Christian Dvorak Over 3.5 Shots On Goal NHL 57.3% +2.0 3/5 5:08 PM
Cam York Over 2.5 Blocked Shots NHL 58.3% +1.0 3/5 5:08 PM
Ian Cole Under 2.5 Blocked Shots NHL 53.1% +1.0 3/5 5:08 PM
Logan Cooley Under 1.5 Shots On Goal NHL 52.4% 3/5 5:08 PM
Barrett Hayton Under 1.5 Points NHL 57.6% +1.0 3/5 5:08 PM
Bobby Brink Under 1.5 Points NHL 59.0% +1.0 3/5 5:08 PM
Christian Dvorak Under 0.5 Points NHL 51.2% 3/5 5:08 PM
Clayton Keller Over 1.5 Points NHL 61.2% +1.0 3/5 5:08 PM
Dylan Guenther Over 1.5 Points NHL 54.2% +1.0 3/5 5:08 PM
JJ Peterka Under 1.5 Points NHL 57.9% +1.0 3/5 5:08 PM
Logan Cooley Under 1.5 Points NHL 56.3% +1.0 3/5 5:08 PM
Matvei Michkov Under 1.5 Points NHL 55.5% +1.0 3/5 5:08 PM
Mikhail Sergachev Under 0.5 Points NHL 51.9% 3/5 5:08 PM
Nick Schmaltz Over 1.5 Points NHL 55.1% +1.0 3/5 5:08 PM
Owen Tippett Over 0.5 Points NHL 50.1% 3/5 5:08 PM
Trevor Zegras Over 1.5 Points NHL 55.3% +1.0 3/5 5:08 PM
Clayton Keller Under 1.5 Assists NHL 53.3% +1.0 3/5 5:08 PM
Mikhail Sergachev Under 1.5 Assists NHL 59.1% +1.0 3/5 5:08 PM
Nick Schmaltz Under 1.5 Assists NHL 60.6% +1.0 3/5 5:08 PM
Trevor Zegras Under 1.5 Assists NHL 61.3% +1.0 3/5 5:08 PM
Travis Sanheim Over 1.5 Blocked Shots NHL 55.3% 3/5 5:08 PM
Noah Cates Over 1.5 Shots On Goal NHL 50.1% 3/5 5:08 PM
Clayton Keller Under 0.5 Goals NHL 71.5% 3/5 5:08 PM
Dylan Guenther Under 0.5 Goals NHL 68.3% 3/5 5:08 PM
Logan Cooley Under 0.5 Goals NHL 74.9% 3/5 5:08 PM
Matvei Michkov Under 0.5 Goals NHL 74.2% 3/5 5:08 PM
Nick Schmaltz Under 0.5 Goals NHL 73.3% 3/5 5:08 PM
Owen Tippett Under 0.5 Goals NHL 71.7% 3/5 5:08 PM
Trevor Zegras Under 0.5 Goals NHL 71.5% 3/5 5:08 PM
Barrett Hayton Under 0.5 Assists NHL 71.1% 3/5 5:08 PM
Barrett Hayton Under 0.5 Power Play Points NHL 80.4% 3/5 5:08 PM
Bobby Brink Under 0.5 Assists NHL 72.7% 3/5 5:08 PM
Bobby Brink Under 0.5 Power Play Points NHL 83.5% 3/5 5:08 PM
Cam York Under 0.5 Power Play Points NHL 88.8% 3/5 5:08 PM
Christian Dvorak Under 0.5 Assists NHL 66.1% 3/5 5:08 PM
Christian Dvorak Under 0.5 Power Play Points NHL 82.9% 3/5 5:08 PM
Clayton Keller Under 0.5 Power Play Points NHL 69.6% 3/5 5:08 PM
Denver Barkey Under 0.5 Power Play Points NHL 88.8% 3/5 5:08 PM